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These articles have been published in the Economist, Standpoint Magazine, Financial Times, MoneyWeek, the Times Literary Supplement, New York Observer and more

Money Observer: On fine wine, rare stamps and coins

fine-wine-rare-stamps-and-coins-picture

Fine wine and rare stamps have been used to pass on wealth for many generations. Janet Yellen, who cautiously keeps interest rates down at the US Federal Reserve, owns a formidable collection of stamps. Friedrich Engels, who co-wrote The Communist Manifesto with Karl Marx, had personal assets that included 924 bottles of claret, 588 bottles of port and, of course, 156 bottles of champagne, as is only fitting for the original champagne socialist.

The wines were an investment, says Alastair Owens, professor of historical geography at Queen Mary University of London, who has analysed Engels’ personal assets at death. This is indicated by the sheer volume of wine he owned and the fact that it was kept in the cellars of Twigg and Brett Wine Merchants in Dublin, rather than in Engel’s own wine cellar. Besides, he preferred to drink beer.

Well-to-do families have almost 10 per cent of their wealth locked up in luxury collectibles, including art, wine, stamps, antiques, diamonds and cars, according to a 2012 Barclays survey. Collectibles can be touched and moved. They’re characterised by limited supply, and their value depends on whether people want to own them.

When equity markets are sluggish and volatile, and bond markets offer poor value, investors tend to turn to alternative investment opportunities. Some investors argue that collectibles can be used to diversify portfolios and protect against inflation. Christophe Spaenjers, assistant professor of finance at HEC Paris, has compiled a price index all the way back to 1900 that compares collectible prices with those of stocks and bonds. The chart shows how collectibles have fared in the past.

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WINE STAKE

A typical customer at London-based wine merchant Berry Bros & Rudd used to buy two cases of wine to help fund their own drinking in 10 years’ time, says fine wine sales manager Matthew Tipping, because those two cases would mature and gain in value.

In the 1960s and 1970s this was considered savvy purchasing rather than investing. From the 1990s onwards, people began to buy wine specifically to make money. The internet has brought about much greater price transparency.

Investors should buy wine by the case and ‘in bond’, recommends Tipping, who advises clients on fine wine purchases.

In bond means the wine is stored in a bonded warehouse, so investors don’t have to pay UK VAT or duty on it unless they decide to drink it. Wine is considered a ‘wasting asset’ by HMRC and thus escapes capital gains tax.

But wine normally plays a minor role in wine investors’ portfolios, says Tipping. Wine investments are usually held for about eight to 10 years, as sales commissions are higher than those on stocks and shares.

He explains: ‘Merchants charge about 10 per cent when you sell, and you need to make up that difference before you move into profit.’

WORDS OF CAUTION

Lee Goggin, co-founder of findawealthmanager.com, also has some words of caution: ‘In a specialist market such as fine wine, merchants and brokers have the whip hand, so they will charge accordingly. Everything is negotiable, but the commission will dent any profit you hope to realise.’

The Liv-ex Fine Wine index, which measures fine wine merchants’ activity, is the industry benchmark. It shows that one of the top performers over one year was the Mouton Rothschild 2000 vintage; it has increased in value by 9.4 per cent over the year to date.

In January 2015 a case of 12 bottles was worth £12,500. That case is now valued at £13,676.

But overall, Bordeaux wines have flattened in value. Meanwhile, Burgundies, Champagnes, Italian wines and New World wines – those produced outside Europe – are fetching better prices in comparison as buyers aim to diversify, says Miranda Cichy at Liv-ex.

She adds that about 60 per cent of buyers are based in the UK and Europe, while 40 per cent are spread across the rest of the world, including 25 per cent in Hong Kong.

TASTE OF THE EAST

It is important to consider who the wine drinkers are, because they ultimately drive the market. Demand in Asia Pacific led to price growth from 2000 to a peak in 2010, before demand dropped off. Chinese buyers have been buying less wine since, and prices overall have stagnated as a result.

Part of the drop is attributed to the recent clampdown on gift-giving in China. But fine wine’s loss has been rare stamps’ gain. It’s hard to smooth your business transactions by sliding a case of Chateau Lafite across the table.

Stamps and coins are less conspicuous, says Keith Heddle, managing director of investments at stamp, coin and antique dealer Stanley Gibbons.

Currently, stamp and coin auctions are breaking price records in Hong Kong. Islamic collectibles too are in demand, as regional powers in the Emirates vie for prominence.

Sheikhs from Abu Dhabi and Bahrain are trying to outbid each other in a race to build museums with the biggest collections of Islamic coins, stamps and art.

STAMP AND COIN COLLECTING

In China, stamp collecting was banned under Chairman Mao for being a ‘hobby of the bourgeoisie’. But since the ban was lifted in the 1980s, Chinese collectors have been rediscovering their postal heritage. Ironically, a Chairman Mao-era stamp from 1986 declaring ‘The Whole Country is Red’ is now highly desirable.

This stamp was meant to show Greater China in all its glory, but closer inspection reveals that Taiwan was left white by accident. It was hurriedly recalled – the designer was threatened with execution – but some stamps escaped the recall. They now trade for £90,000-£100,000.

Many people, particularly in the west, see stamp-collecting as geeky. It’s considered a hobby for fuddy-duddies. Nevertheless, there’s a $10 billion (£7 billion) market in the US for stamp collectibles, Heddle says.

He emphasises that collecting is different from investing. Drawing on a wine analogy, he says collecting stamps is like drinking a bottle of wine with a meal of pasta: it’s a pleasure but not an investment.

He adds: ‘To invest in wine you need the right chateau and the right vintage, authenticated and held for a certain amount of time. It’s no different with rare stamps or coins.’ So don’t rush to buy the Queen’s 90th birthday commemorative pieces as an investment – they are not going to make you any money.

Collectors buy to horde, but investors buy to hold, and ultimately to sell and make a return. ‘The only way you make money is by buying rare, heritage collectibles that have been authenticated and are in the best condition possible,’ says Heddle.

Their illiquidity can be part of their appeal, because ‘you can’t panic buy or panic sell rare stamps and coins’.

Stamps tend to attract investors who already have a fairly balanced portfolio and are sitting on extra cash, he adds. A potential investor needs to have a perspective of at least five years and be seeking capital appreciation, as there’s no yield.

The average value of a stamp-based investment portfolio from Stanley Gibbons is £37,000. Such a portfolio might take three to six months to sell.

Investors will physically own the stamps they buy, but in 98 per cent of cases, Stanley Gibbons will store and insure them. That way, says Heddle, clients don’t have to ask themselves: ‘My stamp portfolio, which of my villas was that in again?’

Unsurprisingly, the world’s first adhesive stamp, the Penny Black, is a classic investment stamp. It was introduced in 1840 to further the unification of the British Empire. Of the 68 million Penny Blacks issued, a few million survive to this day.

Their prices can range from £400 for a single Penny Black in bad condition to more than £12,500 for a mint-condition, well-cut stamp with its original gum. In top condition, a Penny Black has been shown to yield 11-12 per cent compound annual growth over the past 12 years, says Heddle.

DIVERSITY DELIVERS

Some stamps are valued for their accidental features. For instance, the Roses stamp is missing its 13p value, even though it was issued in 1976, when printing technology was well advanced. Only three of these faulty stamps exist. Two are in the Queen’s private collection – the world’s biggest.

As always, the best portfolios are the most diversified ones. Currently, Stanley Gibbons encourages its clients to build portfolios that combine UK, Commonwealth and Chinese stamps, two or three coins and a first edition book.

The classic investment portfolio coin is the Alexander the Great ‘stater’. This gold coin dates from 340 BC, and is the size of a thumbnail. The goddesses Athena and Nike grace its faces. Alexander the Great used it to pay his soldiers, and because the coin is made from gold, it’s fairly durable.

However, it’s not rare – staters are still being discovered scattered around the battlefields of Asia – and you can own one as part of your portfolio. In top condition, a stater is worth around £6,000.

Stanley Gibbons is currently looking into launching the world’s first stamp fund in response to demand from the wealth management industry.

Heddle says: ‘It would be a five-year closed-ended fund because of the nature of the market. One difficulty is that intermediaries want a retail fund to be able to trade, but you can’t have a retail fund in a fundamentally illiquid asset class.

‘We don’t want to crash the global stamp market to allow wealth managers to play.’ He thinks such a fund might launch later this year.

DON’T BANK ON GAINS

Ben Palmer, manager at Cavendish Philatelic Auctions, is less optimistic about the investment prospects for rare stamps.

He emphasises that a stamp’s authenticity needs to be verified and argues that there is no guarantee a Penny Black or other UK stamp will yield high returns, especially given the shift in demand to Asia Pacific.

Another consideration is that most stamp collectors developed their interest in childhood, whereas children in the west do just about everything but collect stamps today, so the pool of collectors is likely to shrink, damaging investment prospects.

Historically, returns from collectibles have been negatively correlated with inflation, says Spaenjers. Yet some collectibles can do well in periods of high inflation.

In the 1970s returns were high on stamps and diamonds, which are the best candidates for hedging against inflation, according to Spaenjers, because they are easier to buy and store than art or wine.

Generally, he would not recommend investors buy collectibles purely for returns unless they already have a diversified portfolio of assets, in which case alternative assets may provide diversification and a long-term perspective – and of course offer investors the pleasure of owning a rarity.

This feature was originally published in Money Observer on 16 June 2016: http://www.moneyobserver.com/our-analysis/how-to-invest-fine-wine-rare-stamps-and-coins

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This entry was posted on June 17, 2016 by in Books & Arts.

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